Weekly Digest- 28th June 2024

Weekly Digest- 28th June 2024

Welcome to our Weekly Digest – stay in the know with some recent news updates relevant to business and the economy.

Canada’s economy is about to improve.

Canada’s economy seems poised for a recovery following a period of weakness last year. Despite challenges, there are signs that the economic conditions are improving and could lead to better performance in the coming months.

However, consumer spending is likely to be affected by a range of factors. Higher borrowing costs, which make loans and credit more expensive, are expected to dampen consumer enthusiasm for spending.

A tighter immigration policy may contribute to changes in the economy. This could impact labor market dynamics and consumer demand, as fewer immigrants could lead to a decrease in new skills and spending power in the market.

The labor market itself is also showing signs of softness, which could further influence consumer spending. With fewer job opportunities or less stable employment, consumers might be more cautious about their expenditures.

 

What experts recommend about timing the housing market after the rate cut.

Borrowing costs have begun to decline following the Bank of Canada’s initial interest rate cut in this cycle. This decrease marks the start of a potentially new phase for financial conditions in the country, offering a break from the previously rising rates.

This change is causing a buzz throughout the housing market. Both buyers and sellers are keenly interested in how this shift could affect their decisions and the overall market dynamics. Speculation is rampant as stakeholders try to predict and plan for possible scenarios.

Buyers, in particular, may find this a favorable time to enter the market. Lower borrowing costs mean that obtaining a mortgage could become more affordable, potentially increasing the demand for homes.

Sellers are also watching these developments closely. They are trying to gauge whether they should sell now or wait to see if prices climb as more buyers are encouraged to purchase homes due to the lowered interest rates.

Economists think the Bank of Canada might lower interest rates again in July if inflation continues to decrease.

Economists predict that inflation continued to slow down in May, which would be a positive development for the Bank of Canada. This comes after the central bank made its first cut to the key lending rate in four years. A slower inflation rate aligns with the goals of the rate cut, aiming to manage economic growth without escalating prices excessively.

Statistics Canada is set to release an important report on Tuesday. This will be the first inflation update following the Bank of Canada’s recent decision to lower its benchmark rate by a quarter-percentage point on June 5th, bringing it down to 4.75 percent. This report is highly anticipated and is expected to provide crucial insights into the current state of inflation.

The data from this report could be instrumental in determining the Bank of Canada’s next steps. If inflation shows a significant decrease, it might justify further easing of the lending rate.

Economists are closely monitoring this situation and some suggest that another rate cut could be on the horizon in July. This potential move depends heavily on the trends indicated by the upcoming inflation data, as the bank aims to maintain economic stability while fostering conditions for growth.

The Bank of Canada’s increasing concerns.

Rate cuts are on the horizon as Canada navigates through economic uncertainties. These cuts are seen as potential measures to support the economy amidst various emerging risks. Stakeholders are watching closely to see if these changes can steer the economy away from potential downturns.
The Bank of Canada has acknowledged that some progress is being made in the economic landscape. This progress is essential as the country attempts to stabilize and grow amidst fluctuating global and domestic conditions. However, the bank remains cautious, indicating that not all issues are resolved yet.

Despite this progress, there are still numerous risks that pose a threat to economic forecasts. The Bank of Canada remains wary about these uncertainties. These could range from external economic pressures to internal financial imbalances that could destabilize the economy’s recovery trajectory.

This cautious approach reflects a broader strategy of carefully managing monetary policy to aid economic growth while being prepared to address potential setbacks. As rate cuts are considered, the effectiveness of these measures in avoiding the outlined risks continues to be a significant point of deliberation for policymakers.

 

Provinces ask for labor-market funds to be returned to the budget.

The recent federal budget has made significant cuts to funding, specifically reducing $625 million from transfers previously allocated for skills training. This decision has sparked concerns across provinces and territories, as these funds are crucial for supporting local workforce development and skills enhancement programs.

In response to the budget cuts, provincial and territorial labor-market ministers are taking a united stand. They are preparing to approach Randy Boissonnault, the federal Minister of Employment and Workforce Development. Their goal is to advocate for the restoration of the $625 million in federal labor-market transfers that were cut.

These ministers argue that the funding is essential for maintaining and expanding training programs that directly impact the employment prospects of their local populations. They believe that reinstating these funds is critical for ensuring that Canadians have the necessary skills to compete in a rapidly changing job market.

Their planned lobbying efforts highlight the importance of federal support in developing a skilled workforce that can contribute effectively to the national economy. This issue not only affects current workforce development but also has long-term implications for economic stability and growth across Canada.

 

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